As I commented in a related thread, Europe is already dividing between Trumpists, old-style Atlanticists and advocates of a self-reliant EU. The Atlanticists are doomed to be squeezed between the other two groups, but their ways of thinking are deeply ingrained.
I see more evidence of adjustment to the new realities than you do. But (what may be the last) big meeting of a doomed* organisation is probably not the place to look for clear-eyed realism.
* It's possible that an organization called NATO could continue after US withdrawal, with Canada justifying the retention of the name. If Ukraine joined, the new NATO would be substantially more powerful, in conventional military terms, than what's left of the Russian armed forces.
I couldn't really follow the point about Turkey. How does leaving Turkey (and the US, and all the local players) to fight it out in the Middle East/Western Asia, mean that "within Europe (and the European side of Nato) the Europeans have ceded political agency to Turkey". Like the abandonment of Francophonie in Africa, it's one of the steps that is needed in the post-NATO world.
As I commented in a related thread, Europe is already dividing between Trumpists, old-style Atlanticists and advocates of a self-reliant EU. The Atlanticists are doomed to be squeezed between the other two groups, but their ways of thinking are deeply ingrained.
I see more evidence of adjustment to the new realities than you do. But (what may be the last) big meeting of a doomed* organisation is probably not the place to look for clear-eyed realism.
* It's possible that an organization called NATO could continue after US withdrawal, with Canada justifying the retention of the name. If Ukraine joined, the new NATO would be substantially more powerful, in conventional military terms, than what's left of the Russian armed forces.
The local trumpists are starting to recognize they may not even get the crumbs
I couldn't really follow the point about Turkey. How does leaving Turkey (and the US, and all the local players) to fight it out in the Middle East/Western Asia, mean that "within Europe (and the European side of Nato) the Europeans have ceded political agency to Turkey". Like the abandonment of Francophonie in Africa, it's one of the steps that is needed in the post-NATO world.
The 'migrant crisis' is in no small amount a Syria policy failure